Cross-country comparison over absolute dates⮸
Daily Dead (7-Day Average)⮸
Cross-country comparison with approximately aligned start days⮸
Daily Dead (7-Day Average)⮸
Per-country analysis with exponential and sigmoidal projections, and new cases analysis⮸
IMPORTANT: The projections are only accurate if the fit is good (it often isn't), and assuming nothing changes
going forward. The sigmoid is omitted if a reasonable fit can't be computed, but this still doesn't mean that
the fit is good if it is shown.
The dashed lines show best fit projections from a few previous days for comparison.
Start date 2020-02-28 (1st day with 1 confirmed per million)
Latest number $2,912$ on 2020-07-02
Best fit exponential: \(700 \times 10^{0.005t}\) (doubling rate \(58.7\) days)
Best fit sigmoid: \(\dfrac{2,299.2}{1 + 10^{-0.051 (t - 38.7)}}\) (asimptote \(2,299.2\))
Start date 2020-03-19 (1st day with 0.1 dead per million)
Latest number $110$ on 2020-07-02
Best fit exponential: \(29.8 \times 10^{0.006t}\) (doubling rate \(48.0\) days)
Best fit sigmoid: \(\dfrac{106.1}{1 + 10^{-0.045 (t - 36.7)}}\) (asimptote \(106.1\))
Start date 2020-02-28 (1st day with 1 active per million)
Latest number $647$ on 2020-07-02
Start date 2020-02-29 (1st day with 1 confirmed per million)
Latest number $70,639$ on 2020-07-02
Best fit exponential: \(4.34 \times 10^{3} \times 10^{0.010t}\) (doubling rate \(30.2\) days)
Best fit sigmoid: \(\dfrac{97,832.4}{1 + 10^{-0.016 (t - 102.7)}}\) (asimptote \(97,832.4\))
Start date 2020-03-14 (1st day with 0.1 dead per million)
Latest number $5,411$ on 2020-07-02
Best fit exponential: \(899 \times 10^{0.008t}\) (doubling rate \(38.7\) days)
Best fit sigmoid: \(\dfrac{5,193.6}{1 + 10^{-0.030 (t - 50.9)}}\) (asimptote \(5,193.6\))
Start date 2020-02-29 (1st day with 1 active per million)
Latest number $65,228$ on 2020-07-02
Start date 2020-02-28 (1st day with 1 confirmed per million)
Latest number $8,902$ on 2020-07-02
Best fit exponential: \(3.18 \times 10^{3} \times 10^{0.004t}\) (doubling rate \(70.6\) days)
Best fit sigmoid: \(\dfrac{8,433.9}{1 + 10^{-0.046 (t - 32.7)}}\) (asimptote \(8,433.9\))
Start date 2020-03-14 (1st day with 0.1 dead per million)
Latest number $251$ on 2020-07-02
Best fit exponential: \(87.5 \times 10^{0.005t}\) (doubling rate \(60.9\) days)
Best fit sigmoid: \(\dfrac{238.5}{1 + 10^{-0.055 (t - 29.9)}}\) (asimptote \(238.5\))
Start date 2020-02-28 (1st day with 1 active per million)
Latest number $513$ on 2020-07-02
Start date 2020-03-01 (1st day with 1 confirmed per million)
Latest number $7,241$ on 2020-07-02
Best fit exponential: \(1.61 \times 10^{3} \times 10^{0.006t}\) (doubling rate \(49.3\) days)
Best fit sigmoid: \(\dfrac{7,122.3}{1 + 10^{-0.033 (t - 49.2)}}\) (asimptote \(7,122.3\))
Start date 2020-03-21 (1st day with 0.1 dead per million)
Latest number $328$ on 2020-07-02
Best fit exponential: \(91.3 \times 10^{0.006t}\) (doubling rate \(47.0\) days)
Best fit sigmoid: \(\dfrac{323.6}{1 + 10^{-0.051 (t - 35.8)}}\) (asimptote \(323.6\))
Start date 2020-03-05 (1st day with 1 active per million)
Latest number $213$ on 2020-07-02
Start date 2020-03-03 (1st day with 1 confirmed per million)
Latest number $13,015$ on 2020-07-02
Best fit exponential: \(3.35 \times 10^{3} \times 10^{0.006t}\) (doubling rate \(54.0\) days)
Best fit sigmoid: \(\dfrac{12,404.8}{1 + 10^{-0.033 (t - 42.9)}}\) (asimptote \(12,404.8\))
Start date 2020-03-14 (1st day with 0.1 dead per million)
Latest number $606$ on 2020-07-02
Best fit exponential: \(193 \times 10^{0.005t}\) (doubling rate \(56.1\) days)
Best fit sigmoid: \(\dfrac{588.4}{1 + 10^{-0.042 (t - 33.5)}}\) (asimptote \(588.4\))
Start date 2020-03-03 (1st day with 1 active per million)
Latest number $440$ on 2020-07-02
Start date 2020-02-28 (1st day with 1 confirmed per million)
Latest number $1,850$ on 2020-07-02
Best fit exponential: \(780 \times 10^{0.004t}\) (doubling rate \(81.0\) days)
Best fit sigmoid: \(\dfrac{1,809.4}{1 + 10^{-0.076 (t - 29.4)}}\) (asimptote \(1,809.4\))
Start date 2020-03-15 (1st day with 0.1 dead per million)
Latest number $10$ on 2020-07-02
Best fit exponential: \(5.04 \times 10^{0.004t}\) (doubling rate \(85.7\) days)
Best fit sigmoid: \(\dfrac{10.1}{1 + 10^{-0.072 (t - 22.4)}}\) (asimptote \(10.1\))
Start date 2020-02-28 (1st day with 1 active per million)
Latest number $12$ on 2020-07-02
Start date 2020-03-03 (1st day with 1 confirmed per million)
Latest number $61,598$ on 2020-07-02
Best fit exponential: \(1.6 \times 10^{4} \times 10^{0.006t}\) (doubling rate \(53.3\) days)
Best fit sigmoid: \(\dfrac{59,129.7}{1 + 10^{-0.043 (t - 42.3)}}\) (asimptote \(59,129.7\))
Start date 2020-03-11 (1st day with 0.1 dead per million)
Latest number $9,761$ on 2020-07-02
Best fit exponential: \(2.7 \times 10^{3} \times 10^{0.006t}\) (doubling rate \(51.3\) days)
Best fit sigmoid: \(\dfrac{9,503.1}{1 + 10^{-0.053 (t - 38.2)}}\) (asimptote \(9,503.1\))
Start date 2020-03-03 (1st day with 1 active per million)
Latest number $34,793$ on 2020-07-02
Start date 2020-03-04 (1st day with 1 confirmed per million)
Latest number $285,268$ on 2020-07-02
Best fit exponential: \(5.33 \times 10^{4} \times 10^{0.007t}\) (doubling rate \(41.9\) days)
Best fit sigmoid: \(\dfrac{303,524.4}{1 + 10^{-0.033 (t - 54.6)}}\) (asimptote \(303,524.4\))
Start date 2020-03-10 (1st day with 0.1 dead per million)
Latest number $44,080$ on 2020-07-02
Best fit exponential: \(9.03 \times 10^{3} \times 10^{0.007t}\) (doubling rate \(44.1\) days)
Best fit sigmoid: \(\dfrac{41,886.8}{1 + 10^{-0.036 (t - 46.1)}}\) (asimptote \(41,886.8\))
Start date 2020-03-04 (1st day with 1 active per million)
Latest number $239,815$ on 2020-07-02
Start date 2020-02-22 (1st day with 1 confirmed per million)
Latest number $240,961$ on 2020-07-02
Best fit exponential: \(6.89 \times 10^{4} \times 10^{0.005t}\) (doubling rate \(61.3\) days)
Best fit sigmoid: \(\dfrac{233,894.0}{1 + 10^{-0.038 (t - 43.2)}}\) (asimptote \(233,894.0\))
Start date 2020-02-24 (1st day with 0.1 dead per million)
Latest number $34,818$ on 2020-07-02
Best fit exponential: \(9 \times 10^{3} \times 10^{0.005t}\) (doubling rate \(56.4\) days)
Best fit sigmoid: \(\dfrac{33,816.0}{1 + 10^{-0.037 (t - 45.7)}}\) (asimptote \(33,816.0\))
Start date 2020-02-23 (1st day with 1 active per million)
Latest number $15,060$ on 2020-07-02
